JOSH BOAK and PAUL WISEMAN.

FILE - President Donald Trump talks to workers as he tours U.S. Steel Corporation's Mon Valley Works-Irvin plant, Friday, May 30, 2025, in West Mifflin, Pa. (AP Photo/Julia Demaree Nikhinson, File)

Trump’s tariffs could squeeze US factories and boost costs by up to 4.5%, a new analysis finds

A new analysis suggests President Donald Trump’s tariffs could increase factory costs by 2% to 4.5%. The analysis highlights potential challenges for domestic manufacturers relying on global supply chains just as the Republican president prepares to announce tariff hikes he says will boost the U.S. economy. While the U.S. stock market shows relief tariffs aren’t as high as initially threatened, concerns remain about higher prices and slower growth. Tuesday’s analysis by the Washington Center for Equitable Growth warns of economic and political costs, especially in swing states with significant manufacturing sectors, like Michigan and Wisconsin.

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President Donald Trump reads from a paper and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen listens after reaching a trade deal between the U.S. and the EU at the Trump Turnberry golf course in Turnberry, Scotland Sunday, July 27, 2025. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)

Trump is getting the world economy he wants — but the risk to growth could spoil his victory lap

President Donald Trump is getting his way with the world economy. Trading partners from the European Union to Japan to Vietnam appear to be acceding to his demands to accept higher costs in the form of high tariffs. Financial markets, at first panicked by the president’s protectionist agenda, seem to have acquiesced to a world in which U.S. import taxes — tariffs — are the highest they’ve been in decades. But high tariffs are likely to raise prices for American consumers and businesses that rely on imports and to make the U.S. economy less efficient over time.

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