
Why Newsom’s push for new House maps isn’t a sure thing, even in heavily Democratic California
Gov. Gavin Newsom’s proposal on the Nov. 4 ballot to reshape California’s U.S. House districts to add five Democratic seats in advance of the 2026 midterm elections is not a sure sale, even in a state where Democrats outnumber registered Republicans by nearly 2-to-1. Democrats accustomed to handily winning elections in California year after year are getting antsy. The Democratic governor told supporters in an email “I wish I could tell you this election was going to be easy, but it won’t.” Campaigns are often quick to alarm supporters in hopes of shaking loose donations. But there are several factors that could lead to a surprisingly close or unexpected result on Newsom’s proposed constitutional amendment, from voter confusion to an aversion to change.